Blue and White

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Canada: A concervative goverment that will not last long

So, as expected, the winners of the Canadian elections are the conservatives. Interestingly, it took a substantial effort on their part to move to the left, so they can achieve that result.

As indicated in the BBC news "A key element of Mr Harper's campaign was his transformation in the public eye from extreme US-style, right-wing politician with a hidden agenda, to a progressive conservative who had a clear vision for the country". Interesting term, "progressive conservative".

In any case, it is unlikely that his goverment will last for long time in power. The only reason that the conservatives were elected is the corruption scandals in the Liberal party. However, the Canadians remain liberal in their vast majority. And that is certainly the good news.

The conservative win is slim and the resulting goverment could fall easily if they would do anything "dramatically conservative". It should be pointed out that the other party that won more votes and 11 more seats is the New Democratic party, a classic socialist party by european standards. The only way that the conservatives can now form a goverment is by forming an alliance with Block Quebeck, which is also left leaning. Alternatively, they may be able to form a minority goverment if the liberals let them do that. Here are the final results:

Conservatives 36.3% , 124 (seats in parliament)
Liberals 30.2% , 103
New Democrats (socialists) 17.5%, 29
Block Quebeck 10.5%, 51
Green Party 4.5%, 0